I'll have to go against the grain and the blogosphere here and predict that we will see the launch of both MobileMe and the iPhone 2.0 firmware tomorrow 1 July. My reasoning is as follows:
1) Steve said in the WWDC that we would see both of the above in "early July". July 11th is not early July.
2) Many Me. com e-mail addresses are already working (mine was working this past Saturday) meaning that Apple is already in the process of transitioning existing .Mac users to the new MobileMe.
3) Apple frequently releases products on either Tuesday or Friday. The 1st just happens to be on a Tuesday.
4) While on stage at the WWDC demonstrating his great music app, one of the developers let slip that it would be available in a "few weeks" in the app store. A few weeks from June 9 would also point towards 1 July.
5) While browsing Apple's product listing for MobileMe shortly after WWDC, it stated to have your data backed up by 30 June to ensure a smooth transition. This has since been removed.
6) While updating apps on my jailbroken iPhone last Wednesday (June 25th), I noticed that TTR (formerly Tap Tap Revolution) has both a new name - Tap Tap Revenge - and a new icon. Also, after updating, a new message popped up stating that TTR would be available in the App store very soon. TTR is being developed by a group headed by Mike Lee who is formerly of Delicious library fame. His new company goes by the name of Tapulous and is rumored to be developing up to 30 different apps for the iPhone.
To be fair and balanced, there are also a couple of arrows pointing to a July 11th release.
1) Apple’s official press release now mentions 11 July as the release date of MobileMe and the firmware upgrade.
2) Some speculate that Apple may be coinciding the updates with the launch of the iPhone 3G to increase the likelihood of current owners upgrading. The reasoning is that after playing with apps available via the app store for a couple of weeks, users will be more than content with their first generation devices and less likely to upgrade.
The good news is that either way we will soon have a brand spanking new version of the iPhone firmware to play with very soon.
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